Recently, the reporter learned from a person familiar with the matter that after several rounds of solicitation of opinions and industry discussions, the new policies related to PV on-grid tariffs and photovoltaic power generation management measures in 2019 have basically taken shape and are expected to be announced and implemented within this month.
Recently, the reporter learned from a person familiar with the matter that after several rounds of solicitation of opinions and industry discussions, the new policies related to PV on-grid tariffs and photovoltaic power generation management measures in 2019 have basically taken shape and are expected to be announced and implemented within this month. Photovoltaic expert and founder of Zhihui Photovoltaic Wang Shujuan told reporters that it is expected that PV poverty alleviation and household PV prices will remain unchanged throughout the year. Centralized power stations and other distributed projects may bid on benchmarking prices, benchmarking prices It may be reduced quarter by quarter at a rate of 1 cent per quarter.
"The relevant policies are currently in the process. It is expected that the electricity price policy will come out first, and then there may be management measures," said the person familiar with the matter.
Earlier, the relevant departments have convened a forum for this year's PV price policy to solicit opinions from the industry. The most recent one was on March 19. The reporter of the Shanghai Stock Exchange learned that the draft of the electricity price plan discussed in the meeting had a certain discrepancy with the spirit of the program revealed at the symposium on February 18, mainly reflected in the form of subsidies. Due to the large number of opinions of enterprises, mainly focusing on the amount of total subsidy funds and the subsidy arrears of the stock power stations, the introduction of the new PV policy this year has been delayed.
“The price department discussed a variety of options and sought advice from many parties, and finally decided on the widely recognized February 18 program.†Wang Shujuan revealed.
According to news from the China Photovoltaic Industry Association, on February 18 this year, the New Energy Department of the National Energy Administration convened relevant enterprises to hold a symposium to solicit opinions on the work related to photovoltaic power generation construction management in 2019. The meeting revealed that there will be major institutional innovations in China's photovoltaic power generation construction management this year: First, it will “pay for the amount†to subsidize the rated installed capacity. The second is to clearly divide the PV project into national subsidies and national subsidies. The new project will be subsidized by limiting the funds of 3 billion yuan and determining the project through bidding. The subsidy of 3 billion yuan will be used up and running.
“Overall, the PV on-grid price in 2019 is determined according to the limited total subsidy, the provincial bid, and the national queuing allocation. This also means that the indicator will be distributed nationwide, and no separate indicator will be issued to a certain province.†People familiar with the matter said.
When talking about the specific installation scale of the domestic PV market this year, Wang Shujuan said that the latest opinion of household PV is that this year's installed capacity of 3.5 GW will occupy 700 million yuan of subsidy funds. Each month, the grid company will announce the cumulative PV installations of the year. After reaching 3.5 GW, the new projects will be stopped. The projects under construction will be connected to the grid for one month. The total scale of this year is about 4 GW.
"Considering that there are stock projects in 2018, it is expected that the final size of new household PV in 2019 will be around 3.6 GW." Wang Shujuan said.
As for the scale of industrial and commercial and ground power stations, she revealed that because the electricity price policy is the provincial bidding and then the national ranking, according to the total subsidy of 2.3 billion yuan, 1200 hours of power generation hours, 6 cents / kWh of subsidy intensity, the estimated size At 32 GW.
It is worth noting that the proposed grid-connected scale (including subsidized and unsubsidized projects, excluding UHV) submitted by State Grid and South China Network in 2019 is about 32 GW.
Industry insiders pointed out that the delay in the PV price policy this year has already had a certain impact on the industry and the market. However, due to the surge in demand in the overseas market, the sales of PV leading companies in the first half of this year are still considerable, and even corporate orders have been placed in the third quarter. After the policy is clear, the domestic market will be restarted, and the second half of the year is expected to usher in a new round of installed peaks.
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